hezbollah

The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026” market is currently priced at 9.5% YES, down from 12% a week ago. The “Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026” market is priced at 2.7% YES, down from 4% a week ago. – The satirical video mocking Hezbollah’s leadership on Lebanese television appears to have escalated tensions, suggesting a decrease in the likelihood of Israeli withdrawal. – Continued Israeli strikes on Hezbollah targets and the uproar over the video are consistent with scenarios where escalation persists. – U.S.-mediated contacts between Israel and Lebanon may indicat